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4 NIHR grants since 2016
Publications on broad range of topics in psychiatric epidemiology, population mental health and evidence synthesis: violence prevention, victimisation, risk factors for suicide, homelessness, prediction modelling, prisoner health, suicide and self-harm in prisoners, community sentences, outcome measurement in forensic psychiatry, real world effectiveness of medication, psychological interventions for criminal behaviour.
Our research includes projects in the epidemiology of mental illness and violent crime, violence risk assessment, prison health, pharmacoepidemiology studies, forensic services, and suicide and self-harm in prisoners and offenders. More recent work has focused on suicide prevention, particularly in people with severe mental illness.
Our main focus in Forensic Psychiatry and Psychology is to investigate associations and mechanisms for violent crime in severe mental illness, and develop scalable approaches to violence risk assessment. This work is funded by the Wellcome Trust.
We have worked alongside our colleagues at the Karolinska Institute to begin a definitive examination of the relationship between violent crime and both schizophrenia and bipolar disorder, and increased risk attributable to comorbid substance misuse. We have estimated that the proportion of violent crimes attributable to patients with these diagnoses is less than 5%, a finding which has been used by mental health charities to address patient stigma. Our investigations on the association of mental illness with specific violent crimes suggests the need for much closer collaboration of criminal justice and mental health services.
Although some research has focused on risk factors, the underlying causal mechanisms are still poorly understood. Our current and future programme of work addresses this, and will continue to translate these findings into more effective violence risk assessment for patients with severe mental illness and treatment focused on modifiable risk factors.
We are also working on outcome measures in forensic mental health (NIHR-funded, led by Howard Ryland), and a mixed-methods investigation of risk assessment for violence in early intervention services (NIHR-funded, led by Daniel Whiting). Other work with Manchester University is examining modifiable risk factors and risk prediction for repeat self harm in high risk prisoners (HTA-funded). We are also researching, as part of the Oxford ARC, risk factors and prediction models for self harm using information from electronic health records. We are also funded by the Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre under the data science theme to examine risk stratification in mental illness, and the NIHR Applied Research Collaborations (ARCs) to study risk prediction models in child and adolescent mental health.
Recent Media Activity
"New analysis of isotretinoin and risk for adverse neuropsychiatric outcomes"
"Prisons, covid, and vaccines"
The Washington post (2021)
"Experts call to include prisoners in COVID-19 vaccine health plans".
Lancet World Report
"Jabs for Jailbirds".
"Men with alcohol problems six times more likely to abuse partner"
"Common nerve pain drug linked to suicidal behavior, overdose".
"No overcrowding link to prison suicide, study suggests"
"Drug and alcohol abuse medications shown to improve patients' lives"
University of Oxford News
"Giving ex-prisoners psychiatric drugs leads to huge cut in reoffending rates, study finds"
"Childhood traumatic brain injury and long term outcomes"
BBC World Service [mp3] & PLOS paper
"How To Interpret That Study Linking Violence And Antidepressants"
"Is there a link between taking antidepressants and increased risk of committing violent crime?"
BBC World Service (from 8:39)
"Ex-prisoners with mental health problems 'more likely to reoffend'"
"Risk of sex offending linked to genetic factors, study finds"
"Clinically depressed three times more likely to commit violent crime"
"Schizophrenia associated with increased rates of violence and suicide"
"Mental Illness Can Shorten Lives More Than Chain-Smoking"
National Public Radio
"Medications Cut Violence Among Mentally Ill in Study"
Wall Street Journal
Coin-toss justice, Seena Fazel
Clinical prediction models (with the Mental Elf)
Podtail (March 2019)
“Can computers predict crime”?
Oxford Sparks (February 2019)
University of Oxford Podcast (2016)
"Mental illness and violence"
Oxford Sparks, Feb 2016
"Seena Fazel discusses how research into the health of prison populations might benefit both prisoners and society as a whole."
The Lancet Psychiatry, Apr 2015 [mp3]
"Seena Fazel discusses his research into prison populations; their mental health problems and suicide risks."
University of Oxford, Feb 2015
"Seena Fazel discusses a two-part Series on homelessness with Richard Lane."
The Lancet, Oct 2014 [mp3]
"Niall Boyce discusses the concept and management of risk in mental health care with Robin Murray, Seena Fazel, and Stefan Leucht."
The Lancet Psychiatry, Jun 2014 [mp3]
"Seena Fazel discusses a population study to assess the effects of antipsychotics on violent behavior and crime."
The Lancet, May 2014 [mp3]
Risk Assessment for Prisoners at risk of Self-Harm and Suicide (RAPSS)
OxRisk.com - Web-Based Risk Calculators
Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute
Google Hangout: Beyond the Impact Factor
Measuring an Individual Researcher's Impact (Evidence Based Mental Health 2019) - supplementary files
Karolinska Institute, Stockholm
Primary Care Health Sciences, Oxford
Maria Vazquez Montes
Centre for Medical Imaging, University College London
Ongoing joint projects in the UK with Manchester University (Jenny Shaw, Jane Senior), IOPPN (Nigel Blackwood), Nottingham University (Daniel Whiting, John Tully).
- Zheng Chang who is now assistant professor at Karolinska Institute. In Oxford, Dr Chang worked on projects that led to 5 papers, 4 in Lancet Psychiatry and one in JAMA.
- Amir Sariaslan has returned to Oxford working as a senior research fellow after academic posts at Karolinska Institute and University of Helsinki. In Oxford, previously Dr Sariaslan was a post-doctoral researcher from 2015-2016. He worked on epidemiological studies examining violence risk in people with psychotic disorders and long-term outcomes in children and adolescents with traumatic brain injuries. His work was published in Molecular Psychiatry, PLoS Medicine, JAMA Psychiatry and Schizophrenia Bulletin.
- Yasmina Molero is a research affiliate with the Karolinska Institute. In Oxford, Dr Molero worked on a series of pharmaco-epidemiological studies, including on medications for drug use disorders (published in Am J Psychiatry), gabapentinoids (BMJ) and statins (Lancet Psychiatry).
- Previous DPhil Students - Daniel Whiting is a senior clinical lecturer at the University of Nottingham. He completed his DPhil in 2021 as part of an NIHR doctoral fellowship. Gabrielle Beaudry is undertaking medical studies at McGill University, and finished her DPhil in 2022. Achim Wolf worked on clinical prediction rules and evidence synthesis. Published 12 articles, including in the Lancet, Lancet Psychiatry, JAMA Psychiatry. Katrina Witt works at Melbourne University as a senior research fellow on suicide prevention.
- Previous MRes Students - Taanvi Ramesh worked on a systematic review and an epidemiological study, and published two papers, including in Lancet Psychiatry. Isabel Yoon worked on two systematic reviews, which were published in Addiction and J Consult Clin Psychol. E Naomi Smith worked on an umbrella review, published in Br J Psychiatry. Helen Hailes worked on an umbrella review that on outcomes following childhood sexual abuse that was published in the Lancet Psychiatry.